Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.017550 0.019518 0.021495 0.023624 0.025848 0.028096 0.030535
2025-03-30 0.013454 0.016510 0.019710 0.023283 0.027132 0.031133 0.035582
2025-04-06 0.010899 0.014491 0.018377 0.022828 0.027729 0.032911 0.038762
2025-04-13 0.008517 0.012368 0.016681 0.021747 0.027437 0.033550 0.040541
2025-04-20 0.007471 0.011640 0.016433 0.022169 0.028701 0.035792 0.043970
2025-04-27 0.006213 0.010526 0.015636 0.021877 0.029087 0.036999 0.046200
2025-05-04 0.005040 0.009395 0.014730 0.021379 0.029173 0.037815 0.047945
2025-05-11 0.004354 0.008817 0.014438 0.021558 0.029997 0.039424 0.050539
2025-05-18 0.003611 0.008084 0.013899 0.021399 0.030391 0.040517 0.052526
2025-05-25 0.002840 0.007218 0.013133 0.020918 0.030371 0.041107 0.053919
2025-06-01 0.002259 0.006556 0.012584 0.020667 0.030593 0.041950 0.055575
2025-06-08 0.001711 0.005858 0.011940 0.020262 0.030603 0.042526 0.056907
2025-06-15 0.001319 0.005400 0.011656 0.020378 0.031333 0.044048 0.059457
2025-06-22 0.000871 0.004740 0.011058 0.020090 0.031587 0.045043 0.061443
2025-06-29 0.000500 0.004077 0.010390 0.019663 0.031633 0.045762 0.063080
2025-07-06 0.000165 0.003219 0.009332 0.018656 0.030917 0.045545 0.063605
2025-07-13 0.000085 0.003033 0.009314 0.019048 0.031947 0.047401 0.066534
2025-07-20 0.000007 0.002597 0.008835 0.018776 0.032115 0.048209 0.068224
2025-07-27 NaN 0.002131 0.008245 0.018313 0.032016 0.048677 0.069500
2025-08-03 NaN 0.001928 0.008104 0.018480 0.032720 0.050110 0.071906
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001640 0.007760 0.018332 0.033000 0.051018 0.073681
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001291 0.007233 0.017885 0.032871 0.051411 0.074835
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001041 0.006863 0.017651 0.033010 0.052122 0.076358